Diagnosis strategy for rare & genetic disease

A rare disease therapy is only as good as the patients who get found, and found in time.

Bailiwick Dx Strategies helps sponsors and patient organizations measure the diagnosis gap, close it, and keep it closed, so fewer years are lost to the diagnostic odyssey and more people reach the care that already exists for them.

For BD and new product planning, commercial strategy, medical affairs, and patient advocacy. Scoped as a fixed deliverable or as a standing fraction of the function.

Where patients are lost

  1. PrevalentEveryone living with the condition
  2. SuspectedRecognized and referred
  3. TestedGiven a test that can find it
  4. DiagnosedHave an answer
Every engagement is about one thing: moving people from the top of this funnel to the point at the bottom, sooner.
4.7years

Average time to a rare disease diagnosis in the largest patient survey to date.1

17

Clinical encounters, on average, between first symptoms and diagnosis among US patients.2

25of 46

Novel drugs approved by FDA’s CDER in 2025 that carried orphan designation.3

The problem

More and more therapies have a ceiling set by the diagnosis gap, not by the product.

Approval doesn’t find patients. Each part of the gap below has a commercial cost to the sponsor and a human cost to someone still waiting for an answer.

Forecasting

Your forecast counts patients no one has found.

Prevalence says how many people have the condition. It doesn’t say how many have a diagnosis today, how many of the rest can be found, or what finding them costs. When those numbers are wrong, the uptake curve flattens and nobody can say why.

Behind the number: people who would qualify for treatment and don’t know it yet.

Ownership

Diagnosis has no owner.

It spans medical affairs, commercial, clinical development and informatics, so it rarely sits with anyone. At any company size it is hard to justify as a headcount and hard to staff well.

Behind the number: families whose odyssey goes on while the work falls between teams.

Method

Generalist methods don’t scale down.

Approaches built for populations in the millions break down at a few thousand, or a few hundred. A rare disease needs estimates grounded in testing, claims and variant-level data, not panel opinion.

Behind the number: programs aimed at the wrong clinics while patients wait somewhere else.

Policy

The ground rules keep moving.

OIG has issued a run of favorable advisory opinions on sponsored testing, each with specific guardrails.5 The federal newborn screening advisory committee was terminated in 2025, so nominations are now made state by state.4

Behind the number: newborns screened in one state and missed in the next.

What Bailiwick does

Size the gap. Plan the levers. Make it last.

Three engagements that build on each other, and a fourth that supplies the capacity to run any of them inside your team.

01 · BENCHMARK

Dx Rate Benchmarking

How many are diagnosed today, how many of the rest can be found, and what does it cost to move the number?

Diagnosed share in unique patients, the findable fraction separated from the theoretical ceiling, and three investment-to-yield scenarios benchmarked to comparable launches.

You receive: a live model built to drop into a BD or NPP funnelDetails

02 · BLUEPRINT

Dx Strategy Blueprint

Where are patients lost on the path to diagnosis, and which levers close the gap?

A leakage map from referral to confirmation, including patients who were never tested, plus ranked levers with compliance guardrails and measurement defined before launch.

You receive: a 12 to 24-month roadmap with owners and criteriaDetails

03 · ADOPTION

Long-Term Clinical Adoption

How does earlier diagnosis become standard practice rather than a campaign?

Guideline and society engagement, clinical pathway and diagnostic algorithm work, and newborn screening strategy, including state nominations after the ACHDNC.

You receive: evidence packages and a multi-year adoption planDetails

04 · FRACTIONAL

Fractional Dx Execution

What if you need the function before you can hire it?

An embedded, senior diagnostics lead: vendor, lab and data-partner diligence, internal deliverables built to your review cycles, and liaison across medical, commercial, legal and advocacy.

You receive: a set number of days per month, rolling three to six monthsDetails

Worked example

Anatomy of a diagnosis-gap model.

An interactive walk-through of the Benchmarking method on a hypothetical rare genetic condition. Change the assumptions and watch where the diagnosed count moves, and where it doesn’t.

  1. Triangulate

    How many people truly have the condition, from several independent lines of evidence.

  2. Separate true from diagnosed

    Who has an answer today, by age band, and where the rest are.

  3. Rank the levers

    The biggest lever is often not the obvious one. That is the kind of finding a launch plan should be built around.

How the work is done

Numbers a forecaster will accept and a medical team will trust.

i.

Unique patients, not visits

Every count is a person. Claims and encounter data are de-duplicated before anything is called a patient.

ii.

Method shown

Every input is referenced, every assumption is flagged, and the model is yours to edit. You never have to take a number on faith.

iii.

Estimates end where the evidence ends

Ranges are reported honestly. Where the data is thin, the work says so and says what would narrow it.

iv.

Compliance by design

Recommendations are built inside current OIG guidance from the start, so legal review is a check rather than a redesign.

Read the full approach

Who Bailiwick works with

Different mandates, same patients.

Pharma & biotech

Sponsors with rare and genetic disease assets, from pre-deal diligence through launch and lifecycle.

  • BD and new product planning
  • Commercial strategy and forecasting
  • Medical affairs and diagnostics leads
  • Patient advocacy and policy teams

Patient advocacy groups

Foundations and societies building the case for testing, screening and earlier recognition.

  • Diagnosis-rate evidence for advocacy
  • Newborn screening nomination packages
  • Guideline and pathway support
  • Evidence syntheses and grant narratives

Public health & other stakeholders

Programs, labs and health systems weighing new conditions and diagnostic workflows, served under a written independence policy.

  • Condition evidence reviews
  • Implementation and pilot planning
  • Follow-up and outcomes measurement
  • Lab and data-partner strategy

Who you work with

“A bailiwick is the territory you know better than anyone. Ours is a narrow one: how rare genetic disease gets diagnosed, and how programs move that number.”

Bailiwick is the practice of Mitch Bailey, most recently Associate Director of Medical Diagnostics in Global Medical Affairs at BioMarin.

Mitch led diagnosis and patient-identification strategy across skeletal dysplasia, metabolic and lysosomal storage disorders, and CNS portfolios. He built BioMarin’s first sponsored gene panel programs from launch to global scale, ran a multi-state newborn screening program, and helped cut time from first symptom to diagnosis in a childhood neurodegenerative condition from roughly 23 months to about five. Before that he established the biomedical informatics function behind Freenome’s ML-driven cancer-detection platform.

Engagements are senior-only. The person you talk to is the person who does the work.

More about Mitch and Bailiwick

Tell me about the patients you’re trying to reach.

First conversations are with Mitch directly and carry no obligation. Bring the asset, the indication, and the number that worries you.

References

  1. Faye F, Crocione C, Anido de Peña R, et al. Time to diagnosis and determinants of diagnostic delays of people living with a rare disease: results of a Rare Barometer retrospective patient survey. Eur J Hum Genet. 2024;32(9):1116-1126. doi:10.1038/s41431-024-01604-z
  2. EveryLife Foundation for Rare Diseases; Lewin Group. The Cost of Delayed Diagnosis in Rare Disease: A Health Economic Study. September 2023. everylifefoundation.org
  3. Regulatory Affairs Professionals Society. CDER approved 46 novel drugs in 2025, half for rare diseases. Regulatory Focus. January 2026. raps.org
  4. Congressional Research Service. The Advisory Committee on Heritable Disorders in Newborns and Children (ACHDNC): Background and Termination. Report R48757. 2025. congress.gov
  5. Epstein Becker Green. OIG Advisory Opinion 26-14 offers another favorable path for patient access through sponsored testing. Health Law Advisor. June 23, 2026. healthlawadvisor.com